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Mistaking performance for competence

TechCrunch

It’s something he’s promised to update at the start of every year until 2050, “as I will then be 95 years old, and I suspect I’ll be a little too exhausted by then to carry on arguments about why I was right or wrong on particular points.” Fair enough. He calls himself a “realist,” rather than a “pessimist,” and I tend to agree.